Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a great example. I analyzed typically the Western Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West Florida had the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I actually also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not gamble on this game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This game offers all the indications of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, with both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming again from being down major in the next 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

In the event this activity were getting played on a good fairly neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

All these are some very impressive stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added in benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like substantially, but in a near match-up such as this, that extra point can make the difference between the push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since 12 eighteen, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for each game in the home, while hitting only giving up 15. 8 points for every game on home. In case a person did not do the figures, that means considering that their own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own competitors by simply about thirty four items per game.

In addition impressive, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by simply 13 factors per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats ended up built up during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games in which they already have only scored 35, 23, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. สมัครพนันบอล have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that this is still some sort of close activity to get in touch with. But the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this particular game and definitely not guess at all. There are better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border was not so big they will may possibly still win immediately after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that sport, people severe concerning sports betting saved money they will can put to better employ on forthcoming games.

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