Sports wagering are often very profitable if you know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. I analyzed the West Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Florida had typically the edge in the match. Yet , My partner and i also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This sport offers all the signs of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, using the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western Virginia coming back again from appearing down big in the fourth fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In case this activity were turning into played on some sort of basic field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like much, but in a close match-up such as this, that spare point will make the change between a good push plus a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since January 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. some points every game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points every game on home. In case anyone failed to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their very own last home loss they have already averaged beating their own competitors simply by about 34 details per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by simply 13 points per activity at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?


Many of those stats ended up built up during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They already have had recent games through which they also have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a close activity to phone. Yet what I look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off that game and not really wager at all. There are better video games this end of the week with more simple benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s borders had not been so big they will could still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By not betting on this game, people really serious regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better use on approaching games.

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