Sports wagering are often very profitable if a person know the strategies this “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. I analyzed the Western world California vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless We also recognized that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on that game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This game has all the indicators of being one connected with the very best games associated with the year, using both teams coming into the game 7-0. ‘s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from staying down massive in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

In the event that this activity were being played in some sort of basic field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the extra bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not look like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that extra point might make the distinction between the push and even a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since January 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points for each game with home. In case anyone don’t do the math concepts, that means given that his or her last home damage they have already averaged beating their very own competitors by way of about 34 things per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by means of 13 factors per online game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats were built up during the july 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already had recent games by which they already have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still the close game to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this kind of game and certainly not gamble at all. There happen to be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back the punt for the TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will could very well still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this kind of game, people severe about wagering saved money these people can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.

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